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3 October 2025

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Air Cargo Resilience Continues: August Demand Up 4.1%

Air Cargo - Photo Credit: © African Pilot // Craig Dean
Photo Credit: © African Pilot // Craig Dean

 During the period under review, African airlines saw:

  • A 11.0% year-on-year increase in demand  – the strongest of all regions
  • A 12.3% increase in capacity, achieving a cargo load factor (percentage of capacity taken up by the market) of 39.6%.

Globally, year-on-year, demand rose 4.1% and capacity increased by 3.7% for a 44.2% cargo load factor.

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released data for August 2025 global air cargo markets showing:

  • Total demand, measured in cargo tonne-kilometres (CTK), rose by 4.1% compared to August 2024 levels (+5.1% for international operations).
  • Capacity, measured in available cargo tonne-kilometres (ACTK), increased by 3.7% compared to August 2024 (+5.5% for international operations).

“Air cargo demand grew 4.1% in August, marking the sixth consecutive month of year-on-year growth. Volumes continue to grow even as global trade patterns change. Air cargo has benefited from a shift from sea for some high-value goods as shippers try to minimise the risk of tariff changes. And growth patterns indicate some being diverted away from North America, fuelling stronger growth for Europe–Asia, Within Asia, Africa–Asia, and Middle East–Asia trade lanes. This adaptability is vital as shippers navigate the evolving landscape of US tariff policy,” said Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General.

Several factors in the operating environment should be noted:

  • The global goods trade grew by 5.4% year-on-year in July.
  • Jet fuel prices in August were 6.4% lower year-on-year, marking the fourteenth consecutive month of year-on-year declines.
  • Global manufacturing in August showed rising optimism in manufacturing PMI, with a rebound to 51.75, the strongest reading since June 2024. Sentiment on new export orders, however, remains below 50 at 48.73, reflecting persistent caution amid tariff uncertainty.

Air cargo market in detail – August 2025

August 2025 (% year-on-year)World share¹CTKACTKCLF (%-pt)CLF (level)
Total Market100%4.1%3.7%0.2%44.2%
Africa2.0%11.0%12.3%-0.5%39.6%
Asia Pacific34.3%9.8%6.9%1.3%47.5%
Europe21.4%3.2%4.2%-0.5%49.2%
Latin America and Caribbean2.9%2.1%5.0%-1.0%35.1%
Middle East13.6%2.7%4.3%-0.7%44.1%
North America25.8%-2.1%-1.0%-0.4%38.4%

¹ % of industry CTKs in 2024

August Regional Performance

  • Asia-Pacific airlines saw a 9.8% year-on-year growth in air cargo demand in August. Capacity increased by 6.9% year-on-year.
  • North American carriers saw a 2.1% year-on-year decrease in growth for air cargo in August, the slowest growth of all regions. Capacity decreased by 1.0% year-on-year.
  • European carriers saw a 3.2% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in August. Capacity increased 4.2% year-on-year.
  • Middle Eastern carriers saw a 2.7% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in August. Capacity increased by 4.3% year-on-year.
  • Latin American carriers saw a 2.1% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in August. Capacity increased by 5.0% year-on-year.
  • African airlines saw an 11.0% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in August, the strongest rise of all regions. Capacity increased by 12.3% year-on-year.

Trade Lane Growth

Air freight volumes in August 2025 increased significantly across most major trade corridors. Europe–Asia and Within Asia posted robust double-digit growth, while Middle East–Asia, North America–Europe, and Africa–Asia also saw notable gains. In contrast, Asia–North America, Middle East–Europe and Within Europe recorded declines.

Trade LaneYOY GrowthNotesMarket Share of Industry*
Asia–North America-2.2%4 consecutive months of decline24.4%
Europe–Asia+13.0%30 consecutive months of growth20.5%
Middle East–Europe-0.8%1 month of decline5.7%
Middle East–Asia+7.8%6 consecutive months of growth7.4%
Within Asia+12.4%22 consecutive months of growth7.0%
Within Europe-0.9%1 month of decline2.0%
North America–Europe+7.8%19 consecutive months of growth13.3%
Africa–Asia+8.4%2 consecutive months of growth1.4%
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